Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Paul 50.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 74.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 61.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Veleno
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Veleno
Paul
Last 5: Veleno 0-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Veleno
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Veleno
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Veleno
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
53.0% (644)
-3.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
37.5% (24)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.9% (177)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Veleno
Paul
Home
44.0% (184)
52.5% (516)
Away
51.1% (276)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Veleno
Paul
P1
50.8%
47.6%
P2
50.4%
48.4%
P3
43.9%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nick Paul |