Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Paul 50.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 56.7%
Defensive zone
Veleno 61.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 60.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Veleno
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Paul
Last 5: Veleno 1-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Veleno
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
48.8% (666)
-1.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.8% (65)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
60.0% (55)
-35.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Veleno
Paul
Home
47.8% (201)
49.7% (348)
Away
46.1% (228)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Veleno
Paul
P1
48.8%
51.0%
P2
47.9%
47.4%
P3
44.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |