Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Paul 53.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 84.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 67.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 71.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Veleno
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Veleno
Paul
Last 5: Veleno 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
53.1% (710)
-4.7%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
57.3% (199)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
58.0% (69)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Veleno
Paul
Home
48.8% (289)
56.0% (466)
Away
49.2% (333)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Veleno
Paul
P1
46.1%
57.2%
P2
50.9%
54.9%
P3
49.7%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |