Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Paul 53.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 72.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 75.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 80.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Veleno
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Veleno
Paul
Last 9: Veleno 2-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Veleno
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Veleno
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
5
Veleno
Paul
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
53.8% (753)
-10.9%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
58.9% (90)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
47.4% (78)
-14.1%
On power play, Paul has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Veleno
Paul
Home
40.7% (327)
54.2% (450)
Away
44.4% (324)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Veleno
Paul
P1
43.2%
58.2%
P2
42.0%
50.6%
P3
42.4%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Nick Paul |