Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 52.2%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 51.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 59.0%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Veleno
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Veleno
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
52.2% (67)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
42.9% (21)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Veleno shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Veleno
Lorentz
Home
49.6% (123)
55.4% (65)
Away
52.8% (178)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Veleno
Lorentz
P1
54.8%
59.3%
P2
49.2%
47.1%
P3
52.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
60.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |