Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 53.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Veleno
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Veleno
Lorentz
Last 6: Veleno 3-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Veleno
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
48.9% (135)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
50.0% (4)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Veleno
Lorentz
Home
48.8% (289)
50.7% (75)
Away
49.2% (333)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Veleno
Lorentz
P1
46.1%
60.0%
P2
50.9%
46.3%
P3
49.7%
44.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |