Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 63.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 58.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 58.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Veleno
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
46.5% (101)
+2.6%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
33.3% (3)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
37.5% (8)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Veleno
Lorentz
Home
44.0% (184)
49.1% (53)
Away
51.1% (276)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Veleno
Lorentz
P1
50.8%
48.6%
P2
50.4%
36.7%
P3
43.9%
57.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%