Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 57.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 57.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Veleno
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
30.8% (26)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
57.1% (7)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Veleno
Lorentz
Home
47.8% (201)
35.0% (20)
Away
46.1% (228)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Veleno
Lorentz
P1
48.8%
38.5%
P2
47.9%
37.5%
P3
44.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%