Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Lorentz 48.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 68.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 67.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 70.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Veleno
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Veleno
Lorentz
Last 7: Veleno 1-6 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Veleno
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
4
Veleno
Lorentz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
48.3% (497)
-5.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
63.6% (11)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
38.5% (39)
-5.2%
On power play, Lorentz has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Veleno
Lorentz
Home
40.7% (327)
50.4% (238)
Away
44.4% (324)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Veleno
Lorentz
P1
43.2%
49.1%
P2
42.0%
48.0%
P3
42.4%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |