Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Thompson 46.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 55.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 78.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 65.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Veleno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Veleno
Thompson
Last 6: Veleno 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Veleno
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (262)
46.1% (484)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
30.0% (20)
+0.4%
On even strength, Veleno has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Veleno is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Veleno shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Veleno
Thompson
Home
49.6% (123)
47.9% (313)
Away
52.5% (162)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Veleno
Thompson
P1
53.8%
50.5%
P2
47.8%
44.6%
P3
54.5%
42.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.2%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |