Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 59.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Veleno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Veleno
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Veleno
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
44.6% (709)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
41.5% (53)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
35.1% (97)
+9.3%
On power play, Veleno has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Veleno shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Veleno
Thompson
Home
48.8% (289)
45.5% (426)
Away
49.2% (333)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Veleno
Thompson
P1
46.1%
48.5%
P2
50.9%
43.8%
P3
49.7%
38.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.0%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |