Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.5% vs 43.1%). Veleno wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Thompson 43.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 57.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 52.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Veleno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Veleno
Thompson
Last 8: Veleno 4-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
43.3% (735)
-0.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
50.0% (26)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
36.5% (52)
-3.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Veleno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Veleno shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Veleno
Thompson
Home
40.7% (327)
44.5% (407)
Away
44.4% (324)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Veleno
Thompson
P1
43.2%
44.4%
P2
42.0%
44.8%
P3
42.4%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
42.5%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |