Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Thompson 43.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 70.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 68.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Veleno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Veleno
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
41.9% (597)
+5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.5% (95)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
25.0% (12)
+0.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Veleno is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Veleno shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Veleno
Thompson
Home
47.8% (201)
47.1% (367)
Away
46.1% (228)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Veleno
Thompson
P1
48.8%
44.2%
P2
47.9%
41.6%
P3
44.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.9%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |