Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Thompson 42.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 59.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 72.0%
Neutral zone
Veleno 63.2%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Veleno
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Veleno
Thompson
Last 10: Veleno 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
5
Veleno
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
6
3
Veleno
Thompson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
2
Veleno
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
42.9% (3,521)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
46.8% (372)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
33.6% (265)
+2.8%
On even strength, Veleno has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Veleno
Thompson
Home
45.3% (1,136)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Veleno
Thompson
P1
48.0%
44.5%
P2
47.7%
43.6%
P3
45.9%
40.2%
OT
35.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |