Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 53.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 53.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Veleno
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
61.0% (246)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
44.1% (136)
-27.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hertl
Home
44.0% (184)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.1% (276)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Veleno
Hertl
P1
50.8%
55.4%
P2
50.4%
54.8%
P3
43.9%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |