Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Hertl 57.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 75.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Veleno
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
58.1% (823)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
62.9% (35)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Veleno shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hertl
Home
49.6% (123)
59.7% (561)
Away
52.8% (178)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Veleno
Hertl
P1
54.8%
51.6%
P2
49.2%
63.8%
P3
52.6%
58.6%
OT
25.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
60.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |