Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 60.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 77.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 71.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Veleno
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Veleno
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Veleno
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
54.1% (1,117)
-11.2%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
59.8% (296)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
34.4% (32)
-1.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Veleno
Hertl
Home
40.7% (327)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.4% (324)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Veleno
Hertl
P1
43.2%
51.6%
P2
42.0%
53.6%
P3
42.4%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |