Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Ek wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Carlsson 46.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 50.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Ek
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Ek
Carlsson
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
5
Ek
Carlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Ek
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (671)
47.1% (533)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.9% (206)
46.3% (80)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (155)
33.8% (80)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Ek is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Ek shoots left. Carlsson is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Ek
Carlsson
Home
50.3% (565)
44.4% (340)
Away
48.2% (467)
46.5% (353)
By Period
Ek
Carlsson
P1
47.4%
48.2%
P2
54.3%
38.4%
P3
46.2%
50.5%
OT
51.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |