Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 50.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Ek
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Ek
Carlsson
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
5
Ek
Carlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Ek
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
45.5% (661)
+1.7%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
46.3% (82)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
33.3% (84)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Ek
Carlsson
Home
49.9% (693)
42.5% (428)
Away
47.2% (568)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Ek
Carlsson
P1
46.2%
45.4%
P2
52.6%
39.7%
P3
46.5%
48.5%
OT
54.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |