Joel Eriksson Ek vs Leo Carlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Ek wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 62.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 69.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 62.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Ek
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
17
(35 meetings)
18
17
Ek
Carlsson
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
8
6
Ek
Carlsson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
4
Ek
Carlsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
7
Ek
Carlsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (6,674)
41.0% (1,844)
+6.3%
Power Play
55.2% (1,494)
42.9% (154)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (1,168)
35.0% (120)
+5.2%
On power play, Ek has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Ek shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Home / Away
Ek
Carlsson
Home
48.6% (4,644)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
46.9% (4,692)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Ek
Carlsson
P1
46.6%
43.3%
P2
49.4%
36.5%
P3
46.7%
43.2%
OT
53.8%
40.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |