Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 77.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 73.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 76.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Ek
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ek
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
34.4% (535)
+13.3%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
42.9% (21)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
40.0% (5)
+1.5%
On power play, Ek has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Ek
Carlsson
Home
48.3% (801)
38.6% (254)
Away
51.1% (801)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Ek
Carlsson
P1
50.2%
35.9%
P2
50.1%
33.8%
P3
49.3%
34.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |