Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.4%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Ek
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Ek
Carlsson
Last 8: Ek 5-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
2
Ek
Carlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
4
Ek
Carlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
41.8% (648)
+5.8%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
37.3% (51)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
38.7% (31)
-3.8%
On power play, Ek has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Ek
Carlsson
Home
49.2% (331)
44.5% (362)
Away
45.7% (536)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Ek
Carlsson
P1
38.7%
46.3%
P2
52.9%
35.1%
P3
48.8%
43.9%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |