Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 82.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 84.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 75.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Ek
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Ek
Hertl
Last 10: Ek 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Ek
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
7
Ek
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
59.8% (296)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
34.4% (32)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Ek shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Ek
Hertl
Home
50.1% (689)
54.3% (709)
Away
48.6% (697)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Ek
Hertl
P1
49.5%
51.6%
P2
49.3%
53.6%
P3
48.9%
58.6%
OT
53.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 13, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |