Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Hertl 56.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 52.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Ek
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ek
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
57.0% (718)
-9.3%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
64.9% (188)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
44.2% (77)
-2.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Ek
Hertl
Home
48.3% (801)
59.2% (463)
Away
51.1% (801)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Ek
Hertl
P1
50.2%
56.3%
P2
50.1%
55.4%
P3
49.3%
60.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |