Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Farabee wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 45.5% vs Zegras 42.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 53.3%
Defensive zone
Zegras 71.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 61.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Farabee
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Farabee
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Farabee
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (39)
41.1% (559)
-0.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
50.0% (12)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On power play, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Farabee is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Farabee shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Farabee
Zegras
Home
34.8% (23)
45.7% (247)
Away
36.4% (22)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Farabee
Zegras
P1
31.8%
45.5%
P2
37.5%
36.8%
P3
42.9%
41.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
35.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |