Scouting Report
Joel Farabee holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Farabee wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 48.0% vs Zegras 35.4% (+13.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 56.9%
Defensive zone
Farabee 60.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.2%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Farabee
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
29.6% (230)
+14.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
32.1% (56)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Farabee is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Farabee shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Farabee
Zegras
Home
38.1% (21)
30.6% (147)
Away
48.3% (29)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Farabee
Zegras
P1
56.5%
33.0%
P2
43.8%
31.7%
P3
18.2%
25.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
44.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%