Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Farabee wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.8% vs Zegras 39.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Farabee 52.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 70.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Farabee
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Farabee
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Farabee
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
32.8% (311)
38.6% (1,669)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.4% (56)
38.5% (148)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
28.6% (7)
+3.4%
On power play, Farabee has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Farabee is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Farabee shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Farabee
Zegras
Home
33.7% (178)
39.9% (882)
Away
35.5% (214)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Farabee
Zegras
P1
39.9%
40.2%
P2
32.8%
38.0%
P3
28.7%
37.7%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
35.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
34.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |