Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.5% vs 38.4%). Farabee wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 44.4% vs Zegras 43.3% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 61.8%
Defensive zone
Zegras 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.8%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Farabee
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
31.1% (61)
39.8% (128)
-8.7%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
22.2% (9)
+35.7%
On power play, Farabee has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Farabee is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Farabee shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Farabee
Zegras
Home
37.2% (43)
29.7% (74)
Away
37.8% (37)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Farabee
Zegras
P1
41.2%
40.7%
P2
34.6%
35.1%
P3
35.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
37.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%