Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Tavares 51.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Henrique
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Henrique
Tavares
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
7
Henrique
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Henrique
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
3
Henrique
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
51.5% (1,232)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
51.1% (305)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
36.7% (30)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tavares
Home
51.2% (461)
52.8% (781)
Away
46.9% (565)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Henrique
Tavares
P1
49.5%
52.8%
P2
48.5%
52.1%
P3
49.1%
48.7%
OT
22.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |