Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Tavares 58.7% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 63.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 72.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Hayton
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Tavares
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Hayton
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Hayton
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
59.2% (1,035)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
60.0% (310)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
42.9% (7)
-0.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Hayton
Tavares
Home
47.4% (171)
57.5% (668)
Away
51.4% (247)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Hayton
Tavares
P1
49.6%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
49.0%
61.0%
OT
75.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
58.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |