Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.5% vs Tavares 52.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 50.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Jenner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Jenner
Tavares
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Jenner
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (374)
52.9% (1,239)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.4% (56)
54.7% (309)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (53)
50.0% (178)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jenner is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Jenner shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Jenner
Tavares
Home
53.6% (239)
55.0% (864)
Away
57.4% (244)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Jenner
Tavares
P1
56.6%
51.8%
P2
56.6%
51.4%
P3
53.6%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |