Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Tavares 57.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 76.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Tavares
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Cizikas
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (512)
58.0% (914)
-4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
57.0% (235)
+43.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
57.9% (19)
-10.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
51.9% (258)
57.8% (614)
Away
54.8% (299)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
56.0%
58.0%
P2
55.1%
56.9%
P3
50.0%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
53.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |