Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs John Tavares
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Pageau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Pageau
Tavares
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
8
Pageau
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
6
Pageau
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Pageau
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
60.9% (1,043)
-5.1%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
60.4% (278)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
47.6% (21)
+3.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Pageau
Tavares
Home
57.1% (674)
63.5% (684)
Away
53.5% (678)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Pageau
Tavares
P1
56.9%
60.3%
P2
54.5%
60.4%
P3
54.7%
60.1%
OT
52.9%
92.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |