Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs John Tavares
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 82.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Pageau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Pageau
Tavares
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
0
Pageau
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
2
Pageau
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
57.5% (914)
+1.3%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
60.5% (309)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
59.1% (22)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Pageau
Tavares
Home
59.0% (595)
61.0% (661)
Away
55.7% (661)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Pageau
Tavares
P1
58.9%
58.6%
P2
57.9%
57.8%
P3
55.6%
58.4%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |