Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Toews 56.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 83.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 91.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Tavares
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Tavares
Toews
Last 10: Tavares 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
5
Tavares
Toews
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Tavares
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
7
Tavares
Toews
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
55.9% (1,143)
-7.2%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
65.1% (304)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
48.5% (97)
+11.5%
On power play, Toews has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Tavares
Toews
Home
50.0% (542)
61.7% (810)
Away
48.2% (587)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Tavares
Toews
P1
52.2%
56.0%
P2
50.0%
56.9%
P3
45.1%
59.3%
OT
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |