Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Toews 58.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 73.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Tavares
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Tavares
Toews
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
3
Tavares
Toews
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Tavares
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
58.0% (901)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
69.5% (226)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
51.7% (209)
-4.1%
On power play, Toews has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Tavares
Toews
Home
63.5% (684)
59.3% (637)
Away
57.6% (658)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Tavares
Toews
P1
60.3%
61.5%
P2
60.4%
55.2%
P3
60.1%
60.0%
OT
92.3%
70.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |