Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Toews 61.9% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Tavares
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
61.1% (650)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
71.9% (192)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
59.6% (99)
-0.5%
On power play, Toews has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Tavares
Toews
Home
61.0% (661)
64.8% (560)
Away
55.3% (584)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Tavares
Toews
P1
58.6%
62.3%
P2
57.8%
63.9%
P3
58.4%
62.8%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%