Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Stenlund 52.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 88.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Tavares
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tavares
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Tavares
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
58.2% (359)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
47.1% (17)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
42.0% (150)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stenlund
Home
61.0% (661)
53.6% (261)
Away
55.3% (584)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Tavares
Stenlund
P1
58.6%
55.4%
P2
57.8%
51.5%
P3
58.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
63.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |