Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs McTavish 43.3% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Tavares
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Tavares
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
42.4% (675)
+15.1%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
40.5% (42)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
50.0% (8)
+9.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Tavares
McTavish
Home
61.0% (661)
41.9% (372)
Away
55.3% (584)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Tavares
McTavish
P1
58.6%
47.2%
P2
57.8%
36.2%
P3
58.4%
43.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |