Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs McTavish 49.0% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 53.5%
Defensive zone
McTavish 52.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Tavares
McTavish
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
47.6% (616)
+10.4%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
57.8% (102)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
33.3% (6)
+24.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Tavares
McTavish
Home
57.8% (614)
52.2% (389)
Away
57.8% (554)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Tavares
McTavish
P1
58.0%
50.0%
P2
56.9%
47.9%
P3
58.4%
49.0%
OT
57.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%