Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs McCarron 53.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Tavares
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
57.5% (308)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (2)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
32.6% (43)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Tavares
McCarron
Home
63.5% (684)
48.3% (147)
Away
57.6% (658)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Tavares
McCarron
P1
60.3%
53.4%
P2
60.4%
59.5%
P3
60.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |