John Tavares vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs McCarron 52.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 88.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 61.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Tavares
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Tavares
McCarron
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
0
Tavares
McCarron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
13
Tavares
McCarron
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Tavares
McCarron
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
53.4% (2,901)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
45.3% (86)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
50.5% (463)
+0.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Tavares
McCarron
Home
56.1% (10,503)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Tavares
McCarron
P1
55.0%
53.9%
P2
54.1%
52.5%
P3
54.1%
52.0%
OT
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |