Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs McCarron 54.9% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Tavares
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
62.8% (86)
-5.3%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
50.0% (2)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
44.4% (18)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Tavares
McCarron
Home
61.0% (661)
59.5% (42)
Away
55.3% (584)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Tavares
McCarron
P1
58.6%
71.0%
P2
57.8%
48.7%
P3
58.4%
61.1%
Final 5 min
63.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%