Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Geekie 52.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 89.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Tavares
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Geekie
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
53.2% (615)
+7.7%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
44.4% (36)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
44.4% (18)
+3.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Tavares
Geekie
Home
63.5% (684)
55.0% (331)
Away
57.6% (658)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Tavares
Geekie
P1
60.3%
53.9%
P2
60.4%
56.0%
P3
60.1%
46.5%
OT
92.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |