Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Geekie 49.3% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.5%
Defensive zone
Geekie 50.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Tavares
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tavares
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
49.9% (505)
+7.6%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
0.0% (6)
+60.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
48.4% (93)
+10.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Tavares
Geekie
Home
61.0% (661)
50.0% (314)
Away
55.3% (584)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Tavares
Geekie
P1
58.6%
51.3%
P2
57.8%
46.9%
P3
58.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
63.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |