Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Geekie 47.6% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 72.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Tavares
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tavares
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
47.0% (117)
+11.0%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
47.1% (34)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
0.0% (3)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Tavares
Geekie
Home
57.8% (614)
45.3% (75)
Away
57.8% (554)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Tavares
Geekie
P1
58.0%
43.1%
P2
56.9%
48.1%
P3
58.4%
47.5%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |