Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Roy 51.9% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Tavares
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
51.9% (547)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
54.1% (37)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
53.3% (92)
+4.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Tavares
Roy
Home
57.8% (614)
54.0% (328)
Away
57.8% (554)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Tavares
Roy
P1
58.0%
53.5%
P2
56.9%
51.6%
P3
58.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%