Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.8%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Danault 52.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 72.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Tavares
Danault
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
0
Tavares
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Tavares
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
52.6% (574)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
63.6% (44)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
49.0% (102)
+1.0%
On power play, Danault has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
55.0% (864)
56.8% (382)
Away
50.8% (862)
48.2% (338)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
51.8%
54.4%
P2
51.4%
55.1%
P3
54.5%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |