Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Danault 54.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 67.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Tavares
Danault
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Tavares
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
55.1% (953)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
64.6% (144)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
42.0% (176)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
61.0% (661)
55.4% (641)
Away
55.3% (584)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
58.6%
61.0%
P2
57.8%
52.3%
P3
58.4%
51.3%
OT
66.7%
35.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |