Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Danault 53.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tavares
Danault
Last 9: Tavares 5-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Tavares
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
54.0% (985)
+6.9%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
61.1% (131)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
43.8% (146)
+3.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
63.5% (684)
54.7% (636)
Away
57.6% (658)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
60.3%
54.1%
P2
60.4%
54.3%
P3
60.1%
52.5%
OT
92.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |